Tag Archives: warm

ANOTHER STRONG MID-WEEK COLD FRONT BEFORE MUCH WARMER WEATHER THIS WEEKEND

An upper-low over northeast Mexico has been responsible for cloud cover today across much of Texas and rain in South/Central Texas. This will continue to track along southeast Texas overnight. In the wake of this system, a strong cold front will be pushing down the Plains arriving in North Texas tomorrow evening. Temperatures out ahead of the front will be able to climb into the 60s for highs tomorrow. After the front arrives, gusty northerly winds of 20 to 30 mph will usher in much colder temperatures with the mercury rapidly falling into the 30s. Highs on Thursday will struggle to reach the low 40s. There may be some drizzle just behind the front, but moisture looks very limited. Thus, don’t expect much, if anything.

After that, a rapid warm-up is in store for North Texas with a beautiful weekend to boot! Upper-ridging will dominate the weather pattern with H85 temps progged to get as high as 16°C by Saturday. This will push surface temps to near 80°F across the area, especially west of the Metroplex. Another cool front arrives on Sunday with somewhat cooler air expected the first of next week. The weekend should be sunny and dry, so get out and enjoy!

WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LOTS OF SUNSHINE OVER THE NEXT 7 TO 10 DAYS

The upper air pattern at 500mb will transition to one that supports a trough along the eastern 1/3rd of the nation and an expanding western ridge across the western 1/2 of the nation and semi rex block this into place. This will allow the coldest air to stay well east of Texas where a shot of Arctic air will blast the east coast. Meanwhile, Texas will be on the eastern fringe of the expanding western ridge. This will suppress any storm systems from affecting our region and allow temperatures to warm well above normal for this time of year. So, the forecast for the next seven days will see warming temperatures with abundant insolation.

We are watching very closely the next system that may affect Texas the weekend of January 31st/February 1st. While this is more than 10 days out, several global long-range models have been hinting that this system may try to phase with Arctic air, that may or may not affect the Plains during this time, and produce wintry precipitation across much of Texas. A lot can change over the next several days, but something to watch in the extended. It has been the pattern of this winter for the cold air and southern stream systems not to phase which leaves us with a lot of cold rain events. This may very well be the case with this system. However, given the tendency for this time of year to produce winter weather, nothing is out of the realm of possibilities at this time.