Category Archives: News

HURRICANE IRMA NOT A THREAT TO THE TEXAS COAST

Hurricane Irma, still days away from making landfall on the continental United States, is not a threat to the Texas coast, despite the garbage being disseminated on social media. In fact, there is not a computer model forecast that takes Irma into the Texas coast. Irma will likely be our next major hurricane in the Atlantic basin possibly reaching Category 5 strength, but as stated, she is days away from reaching the United States. There is another area of disturbed weather coming off Mexico that may be a potential tropical threat for the Gulf in about 6 to 10 days. This may bear watching; however, we have a pretty stout cold front coming down the Plains next week that is expected to make it out into the Gulf. This front will effectively act as a barrier wall for Texas against the tropics. This front may bring a quick shot at rain as it barrels through North Texas Tuesday evening. Winds will turn out of the north around 20 mph or so and be quite breezy behind this front. Temperatures will feel more autumn like by Wednesday and Thursday of next week. Much of North Texas is expected to fall into the 50s by Thursday morning as much drier and cooler air is advected into the region.

UPDATE ON HURRICANE HARVEY

The latest information on Hurricane Harvey as of 9:00 am 8/25/2017 is:

Location: 26.5N 95.9W
About 130 miles or 205 km SE of Corpus Christi, TX
About 135 miles or 215 km SSE of Port O’Connor, TX
Sustained Winds: 110 mph or 175 km/h (Strong category 2 storm)
Movement: NW or 315° at 10 mph…17 km/h
Pressure: 948 mb

Latest forecast track from the National Hurricane Center has Harvey making landfall at 1:00 am Saturday morning with maximum sustained winds of 120 mph, which is a category 3 storm. Landfall is expected northeast of Corpus Christi, TX.

Impacts for the DFW area are expected to be quite minimal given the latest track of this storm. Cloud cover and some rain will be possible, but the heaviest rain and winds will be well southeast of our forecast area. Indirectly, since we will be on the subsident side of the storm with stronger northerly flow aloft, low temperatures may begin to benefit from that and drop into the 60s by early next week.

ALERT: HURRICANE HARVEY EXPECTED TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE TO MAKE LANDFALL IN TEXAS

It has been more than 10 years since a major hurricane has made landfall on the United States coast. It was Hurricane Wilma in October of 2005. The last hurricane to affect Texas was category 2 Hurricane Ike in 2008, nearly 10 years ago. Harvey is now forecast by the National Hurricane Center to become a category 3 hurricane upon making landfall near Corpus Christi on the Texas coast. This makes Harvey a major hurricane. The latest storm information on Harvey as of 12:00 pm is:

STORM INFORMATION:

  • Location: About 350 miles southeast of Port Aransas, TX or about 360 miles south-southeast of Port O’Connor, TX
  • Coordinates: 24.0°N 93.3°W
  • Intensity: 80 mph (Now Category 1 Hurricane Harvey)
  • Movement: north-northwest or 340 degrees at 10 mph

The latest forecast track for Harvey has it making landfall near Corpus Christi, TX as a category 3 major hurricane with sustained wind speeds of 115 mph. After landfall, Harvey is expected to slow down tremendously meandering around the Texas coast. It is forecast to dump life-threatening torrential rainfall as far inland as San Antonio. Impacts on the weather from this very dangerous storm around DFW will be analyzed further this afternoon. Though, given the latest model guidance most of the impacts will be relegated well to our south and southeast. Our weather will depend greatly on the storm’s exact track after coming ashore. It is expected that this storm will be picked up by an incoming trough Monday/Tuesday and carried off to the northeast. However, if that trough is delayed, the storm could push further west.

TOTAL SOLAR ECLIPSE ON AUGUST 21, 2017

Much of the United States will experience a solar eclipse on August 21, 2017, including North Texas. However, North Texas will not be in the path of totality of this eclipse, thus they will not experience the total solar eclipse. The path of totality, the area where locations will be in the center of the moon’s shadow blocking the sun, will track in a narrow 70 mile wide strip across the states of Oregon, Idaho, Wyoming, Nebraska, Kansas, Missouri, Illinois, Kentucky, Tennessee, Georgia, North Carolina, and South Carolina. In this area, daylight will become as dark as night time. The eclipse is expected to begin at 10:15 am PDT (12:15 pm CDT) and end at 2:48 pm EDT (1:48 pm CDT). The eclipse will take about one hour and forty minutes to cross the nation.

A total solar eclipse occurs when the sun, moon, and the earth are in direct alignment. It is only viewable from earth in a rather small area. North Texas, again, will not be in that path, but will see a pretty good partial eclipse. Viewers of the solar eclipse should never look directly at the sun with the naked eye. Special viewing glasses must be worn to protect the eyes while viewing the eclipse to prevent permanent eye damage.

Please see the animation by NASA below for further details of the path of the upcoming eclipse. The next total solar eclipse viewable from the United States will occur on April 8, 2024. North Texas will be in the path of totality of the 2024 eclipse.

100 YEAR RECORD RAINFALL BROKEN YESTERDAY AND DFW OFFICIALLY REACHED 100°F FOR THE FIRST TIME THIS SUMMER LAST FRIDAY

Last Friday, June 23, 2017, DFW Airport’s high temperature hit 100°F for the first time this summer, thanks to compressional warming ahead of a rather strong late season cold front. This front was responsible for the overnight intense convection that occurred Friday night. By the end of the day Saturday, June 24, 2017, DFW broke a 100 year rainfall record. 3.84 inches of rain officially fell yesterday shattering the old record of 1.76 inches set in 1917. This brings the monthly June total of rainfall for 2017 to 7.93 inches.

A COOL START TO MAY 24, 2017 AROUND THE AREA

Some of the coldest temperatures (so late in the month of May) in many years recorded across the area this morning (May 24, 2017). Officially, no record was broken at DFW Airport. The record still stands at 54°F set in 1940. The official low this morning was 58°F at DFW Airport. Below are some of the low temperatures around the forecast area this morning:

Granbury: 49°F

Decatur: 50°F

Denton: 50°F

Dallas: 56°F

Arlington: 55°F

Fort Worth: 55°F

DFW Airport: 58°F (official)

We probably will not see readings again this cool until next fall!

IT’S OFFICIAL – 2016-2017 HOTTEST WINTER ON RECORD FOR DFW

Now that meteorological winter has ended (December through February), it is official that 2016-2017 is the hottest winter on record for DFW with an average temperature of 53.8°F.

February 2017 is also the hottest February on record for DFW with an average temperature of 60.6°F some 10.7°F above normal.

In addition, the winter of 2016-2017 also set a record of 80°F+ degree days in a given winter with 14 days of temperatures at or above 80°F.

Technically, we can still experience freezing temperatures through mid April, but so far 2016-2017 has the lowest number of recorded freezes in a cold season with only 11 days. Freezes are actually measured from October through April. This is 3 days fewer than the lowest prior record of 14 freezes set in several winters.

Below are the top five years of the above records:

Top 5 Hottest Winters:

  1. 2016-2017 – 53.8°F
  2. 1999-2000 – 53.1°F
  3. 1906-1907 – 52.9°F
  4. 1951-1952 – 52.8°F
  5. 1931-1932 – 52.0°F

Top 5 Hottest Februarys:

  1. 2017 – 60.6°F
  2. 1976 – 58.4°F
  3. 1930 – 57.6°F
  4. 2000 – 57.3°F
  5. 1932 – 56.8°F

Top 5 Winters with the Most 80+ Degree Days

  1. 2016-2017 – 14 days
  2. 2005-2006 – 10 days
  3. 1908-1909 – 10 days
  4. 1995-1996 – 9 days
  5. 1951-1952 – 8 days

Top 5 Fewest 32-Degree Days in a Cold Season:

  1. 2016-2017 – 11 freezes*
  2. 2011-2012 – 14 freezes
  3. 1999-2000 – 14 freezes
  4. 1931-32 – 14 freezes
  5. 1930-1931 -14 freezes

*Could still change as we can technically still reach freezing until about mid-April.

RECORD HIGH TIED YESTERDAY JANUARY 10, 2017 AT DFW

The record of 79°F set in 1995 was tied yesterday, January 10, 2017, at DFW Airport. The high temperature reached 79°F yesterday afternoon, despite a weak cold front moving through the area. That front will retreat north today putting us back in the warm sector again today. High temperatures today will be flirting in record territory. The record for January 11th is 83°F set in 1911, and the forecasted high is 81°F.